Blog Posting: June 7, 2008

What Exactly is an Infinitesimal?

People struggle with stochastic calculus for one basic reason: They don't really understand calculus.

Article 2 Hind 07 Aug 2008
Re: Article 2 Glyn Holton 08 Aug 2008
Infinitesimal is God Sanjay 24 Aug 2008
Re: Infinitesimal is God Glyn Holton 31 Aug 2008
You cannot circumvent the "infinitesimal" in dy/dx using Barrow Triangle Sanjay 26 Aug 2008
Re: You cannot circumvent the "infinitesimal" in dy/dx using Barr... Glyn Holton 31 Aug 2008
Metaphysics of Infinitesimal Sanjay 26 Aug 2008
Re: Metaphysics of Infinitesimal Glyn Holton 31 Aug 2008

Blog Posting: April 17, 2008

Capitalism On Cruise Control

A Kafkaesque experience of capitalism and "we'll have to get back to you on that."

Blog Posting: February 16, 2008

We Could Use a JP Morgan.

On the heals of the sub-prime meltdown and the Societe Generale rogue trader fiasco, risk management is in disarray—a situation not unlike that of accounting a hundred years ago. Are there any JP Morgans in our profession today?

Article 1 Krassimir 18 Feb 2008
subprime Lionel 18 Feb 2008
Article 4 Horseless 19 Feb 2008
Re: Article 4 Lionel 21 Feb 2008
Re: Article 4 Horseless 21 Feb 2008
Re: Article 4 Lionel 21 Feb 2008
Re: Article 4 Horseless 21 Feb 2008
Re: Article 4 Lionel 22 Feb 2008
Re: Article 4 Horseless 22 Feb 2008
Re: Article 4 powel 22 Feb 2008
Re: Article 4 Horseless 25 Feb 2008
Re: Article 4 Lionel 26 Feb 2008
Re: Article 4 powel 27 Feb 2008
Re: Article 4 powel 21 Feb 2008
Re: Article 4 Lionel 22 Feb 2008
Article 1 Krassimir 10 Jul 2008

Blog Posting: December 20, 2007

Best of 2007 Book Awards

The Best of 2007 Book Awards were just announced. Here is commentary on the winners, some honorable mentions and recent trends in finance publishing.

Taleb KS 02 Feb 2008

Blog Posting: December 10, 2007

Benford's Law

Benford's Law is a fun result and a surprisingly simple tool for uncovering accounting or tax fraud. Even simpler tools are being deployed to detect hedge fund abuses.

December Outperformance The Deal Sleuth 06 Jan 2008
Interesting data Horseless 07 Jan 2008

Blog Posting: November 26, 2007

Played On The Street - Part 2

In a dramatic about-face from last week, the Wall Street Journal now reports on how hedge funds are misrepresenting their assets under management.

Blog Posting: November 19, 2007

Played On The Street

Readers of this blog know that the hedge fund industry is little more than a trillion dollar bait-and-switch scheme. Readers of the Wall Street Journal are not so well informed.

information sources BD 19 Nov 2007

Blog Posting: October 11, 2007

Market Maker's Dilemma

Market volatility has many causes, including our own actions. If we're the cause, can value-at-risk be meaningful?

Dates to CAPM DAX 24 Oct 2007

Blog Posting: August 10, 2007

Hedge Funds: Who'll Take the Toxic Waste?

Long before Mark Twain stood on Wall Street and saw it was a "street with a river at one end and a graveyard at the other," there has been financial manipulation and scams.

Let's be more moderate Krassimir 16 Aug 2007
Re: Let's be more moderate Breathtakingly dishonest 16 Aug 2007
maybe lets be less moderate.... Breathtakingly dishonest 16 Aug 2007
Re: maybe lets be less moderate.... Krassimir 17 Aug 2007
Re: maybe lets be less moderate.... Glyn Holton 17 Aug 2007
Re: maybe lets be less moderate.... Krassimir 20 Aug 2007
Re: maybe lets be less moderate.... Glyn Holton 20 Aug 2007
Re: maybe lets be less moderate.... Krassimir 20 Aug 2007
Re: maybe lets be less moderate.... Glyn Holton 21 Aug 2007
Re: maybe lets be less moderate.... Breathtakingly dishonest 21 Aug 2007
Re: maybe lets be less moderate.... Steve Kenny 17 Aug 2007
Re: Let's be more moderate Gumpwine 08 Oct 2007
Let's be... Mario R. Melchiori 29 Aug 2007
Re: Let's be... Breathtakingly dishonest 29 Aug 2007

Blog Posting: July 13, 2007

More Questions Than Answers

Fictional mysteries can be fun, but here is one that is real. It involves a book, a guy we will call "Junior" and an implausible sequence of events. Like any good mystery, it offers more questions than answers.

Re: More Questions Than Answers 15 Jul 2007
Great Book! Lionel 20 Jul 2007
Article 3 24 Jul 2007
Re: More Questions Than Answers neuromancer 03 Aug 2007
Re: More questions than answers (price update) JO 26 Nov 2007
Re: More questions than answers (price update) Glyn Holton 10 Dec 2007
Publisher for your book Financial Engineer 27 Nov 2007

Blog Posting: May 12, 2007

Peter Bernstein's Evolving Thinking on Risk

Thinking about risk is like pealing back the layers of an onion. Just when you think you understand it, you find another layer.

Peter Bernstein Mark Taranto 14 May 2007
Re: Peter Bernstein DAX 15 May 2007
Re: Peter Bernstein Horseless 15 May 2007
Re: Peter Bernstein Mark Taranto 16 May 2007
Re: Peter Bernstein Frederic Blanc-Brude 24 May 2007
Re: Peter Bernstein Glyn Holton 15 May 2007
Re: Peter Bernstein DAX 16 May 2007
Re: Peter Bernstein Glyn Holton 18 May 2007

Blog Posting: May 3, 2007

Race to the Bottom

A number of recent studies explore scaling back US financial regulations in the name of making US financial markets more competitive on the international stage. This is good work, but can we avoid a race to the bottom?

Blog Posting: January 19, 2007

I'll Be Gone. You'll Be Gone.

IBG YBG is a lurking risk, and financial risk management is powerless to stop it.

IBG YBG WBG Krassimir 22 Jan 2007
Re: IBG YBG WBG Glyn Holton 23 Jan 2007
Re: IBG YBG WBG Krassimir 23 Jan 2007
Re: IBG YBG WBG Mark Taranto 24 Jan 2007
Re: IBG YBG WBG Horseless 24 Jan 2007
Re: IBG YBG WBG Perrow 25 Jan 2007
Your Great Website Dana Cole 09 Apr 2007
RE: IBG YBG WBG hereForTheMarketing 25 Apr 2007
RE: IBG YBG WBG Glyn Holton 04 May 2007
RE: IBG YBG WBG Tjemme 15 Dec 2007
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Blog Posting: December 22, 2006

Best of 2006 Book Awards

The Best of 2006 Book Awards were just announced. Here is commentary on the winners, some honorable mentions and a whole category of losers.

Rubinstein's History Mark Taranto 26 Dec 2006
Re: Rubinstein's History Elliot 03 Jan 2007
Re: Rubinstein's History Mark Taranto 08 Jan 2007

Blog Posting: November 24, 2006

Milton Friedman: A Lesson in Positive Risk Measurement

The philosophy of science tells us that many of the risk measures being implemented for market risk, credit risk and operational risk today are devoid of predictive content. They sound very scientific, but they are meaningless. Milton Friedman explained why.

Article 1 Andi 27 Nov 2006
Re: Article 1 Glyn Holton 29 Nov 2006
Friedman on Markowitz Mark Taranto 28 Nov 2006
Re: Friedman on Markowitz Glyn Holton 29 Nov 2006
Re: Friedman on Markowitz Mark Taranto 29 Nov 2006
Paul Samuelson's observations Glyn Holton 08 Dec 2006
Re: Friedman on Markowitz Mario Melchiori 10 Dec 2006
Bayes vs. Popper Eliezer Yudkowsky 10 Dec 2006
Re: Bayes vs. Popper mal 14 Dec 2006

Blog Posting: November 2, 2006

A Motivational Thought

So often, business procedures read like some sort of legal disclaimer. Write them as you would a best-selling cookbook.

Whistle Blower Reporting Systems.... Andreas Steiner 13 Nov 2006

Blog Posting: October 26, 2006

The Trend is Your Friend: Value-at-Risk and Amaranth

The Amaranth debacle has reignited a debate about value-at-risk. Here is what you need to know.

Ten-day 99% VaR has worked fine. B. Myerson 28 Oct 2006
Re: Ten-day 99% VaR has worked fine. Mark Taranto 30 Oct 2006
Re: Ten-day 99% VaR has worked fine. Horseless 30 Oct 2006
Re: Ten-day 99% VaR has worked fine. Glyn Holton 01 Nov 2006
Re: Ten-day 99% VaR has worked fine. Glyn Holton 01 Nov 2006
Re: Ten-day 99% VaR has worked fine. Myerson 01 Nov 2006
Re: Ten-day 99% VaR has worked fine. Krassimir 02 Nov 2006
Re: Ten-day 99% VaR has worked fine. Glyn Holton 08 Nov 2006
What about 30-day 99% VaR... Andreas Steiner 09 Nov 2006
Re: What about 30-day 99% VaR... Glyn Holton 10 Nov 2006
Re: What about 30-day 99% VaR... Andreas Steiner 13 Nov 2006
Re: What about 30-day 99% VaR... Glyn Holton 14 Nov 2006
Defining Liquidity Risk ... Glyn Holton 20 Nov 2006
Re: Defining Liquidity Risk ... Andrewas Steiner 23 Nov 2006
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Blog Posting: October 19, 2006

A Right Way and a Wrong Way

There are two fundamentally different approaches to financial risk management. Do you know which one your company is using?

Article 2 Chrisada Sookdhis 19 Oct 2006
Re: Article 2 Mark Taranto 23 Oct 2006
Re: Article 2 -- additional comment Mark Taranto 23 Oct 2006
Re: Article 2 -- additional comment Lionel 23 Oct 2006
Re: Article 2 -- additional comment Mark Taranto 25 Oct 2006

Blog Posting: October 12, 2006

Inaugural Article

Back in the mid-1990s, financial risk management was the darling of Wall Street, but those heady days are long gone.

Looking forward to reading more ... Ray 13 Oct 2006
risk blog john sodergreen 16 Oct 2006
Good Sappi 18 Oct 2006
Blog david 18 Oct 2006